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Newcastle vs Brighton Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : draw or Brighton"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Newcastle and Brighton to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 10%Draw 45%Away 45%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls20.7
Goal Potential~ 3.1 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Brighton coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

NewcastleBrighton
Goals
1.7
1.3
Shots
16.7
9.3
Shots on Target
4.7
4.0
Fouls
10.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.3
Corners
5.7
4.3
Possession
56%
44%

Newcastle vs Brighton Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Premier League encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Newcastle

3

Final Score

Brighton

1

Overall Possession

New

33%

Bri

67%

14Shots13
6Shots on Target4
10Fouls Committed12
2Corners10
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
1Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 10 fouls for Newcastle. Compared to their season average of 9.8, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 3 yellows were shown to the home side.Brighton recorded 3 cards, against a historical average of 1.5.

Referee Impact Recap

C. Kavanagh oversaw a match with 6 total cards. This met the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Premier League.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 20.7 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 11:46:44 PM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.40Goals For1.40
1.20Goals Conceded1.40
13.00Shots For14.80
4.80Shots On Target5.80
4.00Corners6.20
9.00Fouls Committed10.80
1.60Yellow Cards1.00

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
F. Schär
0.80
0.60
2
-
-
D. Burn
0.60
0.80
2
-
-
E. Krafth
0.40
0.20
2
-
-
A. Ramsdale
0.00
0.20
2
-
-
L. Hall
0.40
1.00
1
-
-
N. Pope
0.20
0.00
1
-
-
K. Trippier
0.40
0.40
0
-
-
M. Thiaw
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
T. Livramento
0.40
1.20
0
-
-
S. Botman
0.40
1.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
Bruno Guimarães
2.20
4.20
1
0.20
-
Joelinton
2.20
0.00
1
0.00
-
S. Tonali
1.00
0.80
1
0.00
-
J. Murphy
0.20
0.80
0
0.20
-
J. Willock
0.20
0.60
0
0.20
-
M. Almirón
0.20
0.60
0
0.00
-
J. Ramsey
0.20
0.20
0
0.40
-
L. Miley
0.20
0.00
0
0.20
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
W. Osula
1.00
1.60
0.60
0.00
-
A. Gordon
0.80
1.40
0.40
0.00
-
H. Barnes
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.20
-
Y. Wissa
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
A. Elanga
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
A. Webster
0.80
0.00
1
-
-
M. Wieffer
0.80
0.80
1
-
-
J. van Hecke
0.40
1.20
1
-
-
O. Boscagli
0.20
1.40
1
-
-
J. Veltman
0.20
0.60
1
-
-
F. Kadıoğlu
1.20
0.40
0
-
-
L. Dunk
0.20
0.80
1
-
-
M. De Cuyper
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
B. Verbruggen
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
C. Baleba
1.00
1.60
0
0.00
-
K. Mitoma
1.40
1.00
2
0.00
-
D. Gómez
1.20
0.40
1
0.20
-
Y. Ayari
0.80
0.80
0
0.20
-
J. Milner
1.20
0.20
0
0.00
-
Y. Minteh
1.20
0.20
1
0.00
-
J. Hinshelwood
0.60
0.60
0
0.00
-
S. March
0.00
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
D. Welbeck
0.80
1.20
0.20
0.20
-
C. Kostoulas
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
G. Rutter
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.20
-
S. Tzimas
0.20
0.40
0.20
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Head to Head

10 previous meetings

Newcastle 3W3D4W Brighton
18 Oct 25
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Premier League
4 May 25
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
Premier League
2 Mar 25
Newcastle1 - 2Brighton
FA Cup
19 Oct 24
Newcastle0 - 1Brighton
Premier League
11 May 24
Newcastle1 - 1Brighton
Premier League

Data-Led Match Summary

Newcastle come into this Premier League fixture averaging 12.4 shots, 9.8 fouls, and 1.6 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Brighton are returning 14.8 shots, 10.9 fouls, and 1.5 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Premier League fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for C. Kavanagh to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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