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FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both FC St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05 to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 10%Draw 45%Away 45%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls17.7
Goal Potential~ 2.5 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
FSV Mainz 05 coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 1 Meetings)

FC St. PauliFSV Mainz 05
Goals
0.0
0.0
Shots
5.0
13.0
Shots on Target
1.0
1.0
Fouls
9.0
5.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.0
Corners
5.0
9.0
Possession
47%
53%

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Bundesliga encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

FC St. Pauli

1

Final Score

FSV Mainz 05

2

Overall Possession

FC

52%

FSV

48%

10Shots17
3Shots on Target6
10Fouls Committed8
7Corners7
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
4Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 10 fouls for FC St. Pauli. Compared to their season average of 8.3, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 3 yellows were shown to the home side.FSV Mainz 05 recorded 1 cards, against a historical average of 1.2.

Referee Impact Recap

Timo Gerach, Germany oversaw a match with 4 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Bundesliga.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 17.7 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 2:02:40 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

0.80Goals For1.80
2.00Goals Conceded1.80
10.40Shots For16.80
3.20Shots On Target6.60
6.80Corners5.40
7.40Fouls Committed10.60
2.00Yellow Cards1.40

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
T. Ando
0.80
1.40
1
-
-
K. Mets
0.80
0.40
1
-
-
E. Smith
0.60
0.60
1
-
-
M. Saliakas
0.20
0.20
1
-
-
A. Dźwigała
1.00
0.20
0
-
-
L. Ritzka
0.60
0.40
0
-
-
H. Wahl
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
N. Vasilj
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
J. Fujita
1.40
1.00
2
0.00
-
A. Pyrka
0.60
1.00
0
0.00
-
J. Sands
0.60
1.00
0
0.00
-
J. Irvine
1.00
0.00
0
0.20
-
L. Oppie
0.40
0.40
0
0.00
-
C. Metcalfe
0.20
0.00
1
0.20
-
M. Rasmussen
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
A. Hountondji
1.00
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
Abdoulie Ceesay
0.60
1.00
0.60
0.00
-
R. Jones
0.80
1.00
0.20
0.00
-
Mathias Pereira Lage
0.20
0.60
0.20
0.00
-
D. Sinani
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
D. Kohr
1.20
1.20
2
-
-
S. Bell
1.00
0.60
2
-
-
A. Hanche-Olsen
1.20
0.60
1
-
-
N. Veratschnig
0.40
0.60
1
-
-
K. Potulski
1.20
0.80
0
-
-
R. Zentner
0.20
0.00
1
-
-
D. Batz
0.00
0.00
1
-
-
D. da Costa
0.20
1.00
0
-
-
S. Widmer
0.20
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
P. Mwene
1.00
1.40
0
0.00
-
N. Amiri
0.60
1.20
0
0.00
-
K. Sano
0.80
0.60
0
0.20
-
A. Caci
0.80
0.00
2
0.00
-
S. Kawasaki
0.40
0.20
0
0.00
-
L. Maloney
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
B. Hollerbach
0.80
1.60
0.20
0.20
-
P. Nebel
0.60
1.20
0.20
0.20
-
S. Katompa Mvumpa
0.60
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
Lee Jae-Sung
0.40
0.40
0.20
0.00
-
N. Weiper
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
W. Bøving
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

FC St. Pauli come into this Bundesliga fixture averaging 9.7 shots, 8.3 fouls, and 1.8 cards across their last ten tracked matches. FSV Mainz 05 are returning 14.0 shots, 9.4 fouls, and 1.2 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Bundesliga fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Timo Gerach, Germany to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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