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Southampton vs Derby Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : Southampton or draw"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Southampton and Derby to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 45%Draw 45%Away 10%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls22.1
Goal Potential~ 2.5 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Southampton coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 1 Meetings)

SouthamptonDerby
Goals
1.0
1.0
Shots
13.0
9.0
Shots on Target
6.0
5.0
Fouls
9.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
4.0
Corners
5.0
3.0
Possession
63%
37%

Southampton vs Derby Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Southampton

2

Final Score

Derby

1

Overall Possession

Sou

62%

Der

38%

15Shots9
5Shots on Target4
8Fouls Committed14
6Corners2
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
1Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 8 fouls for Southampton. Compared to their season average of 9.6, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 1 yellows were shown to the home side.Derby recorded 2 cards, against a historical average of 2.6.

Referee Impact Recap

Andrew Kitchen, England oversaw a match with 3 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 22.1 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 12:36:43 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

2.80Goals For1.40
0.60Goals Conceded1.00
16.60Shots For13.80
6.60Shots On Target3.60
7.00Corners4.20
8.00Fouls Committed14.60
1.20Yellow Cards2.20

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
J. Quarshie
0.60
0.40
2
-
-
C. Taylor
0.80
0.00
1
-
-
R. Edwards
0.40
0.00
1
-
-
J. Stephens
0.00
0.00
1
-
-
R. Manning
0.80
1.20
0
-
-
M. Roerslev
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
T. Harwood-Bellis
0.20
1.40
0
-
-
G. Bazunu
0.00
0.80
0
-
-
A. McCarthy
0.00
0.20
0
-
-
N. Wood-Gordon
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
Mateus Fernandes
1.00
2.20
0
0.00
-
F. Downes
1.00
0.80
1
0.00
-
Cameron Bragg
0.80
0.80
2
0.00
-
K. Matsuki
0.40
1.20
0
0.00
-
Welington
0.80
0.40
1
0.20
-
S. Charles
0.40
0.80
0
0.20
-
S. Edozie
0.20
1.20
0
0.00
-
T. Dibling
0.60
0.80
0
0.00
-
A. Lallana
0.20
0.20
0
0.00
-
W. Smallbone
0.20
0.00
0
0.00
-
J. Aribo
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
B. Brereton
1.00
1.20
0.40
0.00
-
R. Stewart
0.80
1.20
0.20
0.00
-
C. Archer
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.40
-
A. Armstrong
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.20
-
R. Fraser
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
Jay Robinson
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
C. Elder
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
D. Batth
1.40
0.80
1
-
-
S. Langås
0.60
0.40
0
-
-
M. Clarke
0.40
1.20
0
-
-
C. Forsyth
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Vickers
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Widell Zetterström
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
D. Ozoh
1.80
0.80
1
0.00
-
J. Banel
1.00
1.00
1
0.00
-
B. Clark
1.00
0.60
1
0.20
-
L. Thompson
0.80
0.40
1
0.00
-
J. Ward
0.20
0.80
0
0.00
-
M. Johnston
0.40
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Morris
0.60
1.20
0.40
0.20
-
P. Agyemang
0.80
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
R. Brewster
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.20
-
E. Adams
0.20
1.40
0.00
0.00
-
L. Salvesen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Head to Head

5 previous meetings

Southampton 1W4D0W Derby
4 Oct 25
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Championship
16 Jan 19
Southampton4 - 4Derby
FA Cup
5 Jan 19
Derby2 - 2Southampton
FA Cup
18 Feb 12
Southampton4 - 0Derby
Championship
15 Oct 11
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Championship

Data-Led Match Summary

Southampton come into this Championship fixture averaging 11.9 shots, 9.6 fouls, and 1.5 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Derby are returning 13.8 shots, 12.5 fouls, and 2.6 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Andrew Kitchen, England to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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