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Southampton vs Middlesbrough Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Southampton and Middlesbrough to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 10%Draw 45%Away 45%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls19.3
Goal Potential~ 3.2 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Middlesbrough coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 4 Meetings)

SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
Goals
0.3
2.3
Shots
13.0
18.0
Shots on Target
3.0
4.0
Fouls
11.8
9.5
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.5
Corners
4.3
9.0
Possession
45%
55%

Southampton vs Middlesbrough Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Southampton

2

Final Score

Middlesbrough

1

Overall Possession

Sou

60%

Mid

40%

20Shots19
7Shots on Target3
15Fouls Committed19
11Corners5
0Tackles0
Discipline
0Offsides
1Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 15 fouls for Southampton. Compared to their season average of 10.5, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 4 yellows were shown to the home side.Middlesbrough recorded 4 cards, against a historical average of 1.6.

Referee Impact Recap

A. Madley oversaw a match with 8 total cards. This met the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 19.3 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 12:49:27 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.80Goals For1.60
1.20Goals Conceded1.20
14.40Shots For16.80
4.00Shots On Target4.40
5.80Corners5.60
13.00Fouls Committed8.20
2.00Yellow Cards1.00

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
J. Quarshie
0.60
0.40
2
-
-
Welington
1.00
0.60
1
-
-
C. Taylor
0.80
0.00
1
-
-
N. Wood-Gordon
0.20
0.60
1
-
-
J. Stephens
0.00
0.00
1
-
-
M. Roerslev
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
T. Harwood-Bellis
0.20
0.60
0
-
-
R. Manning
0.20
1.20
0
-
-
G. Bazunu
0.00
0.60
0
-
-
A. McCarthy
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
Mateus Fernandes
1.00
2.20
0
0.00
-
F. Downes
1.60
0.20
3
0.00
-
S. Charles
1.20
0.40
1
0.00
-
Cameron Bragg
1.00
0.40
0
0.00
-
T. Dibling
0.60
0.80
0
0.00
-
S. Edozie
0.00
0.80
0
0.20
-
K. Matsuki
0.60
0.20
0
0.00
-
R. Edwards
0.40
0.00
1
0.00
-
A. Lallana
0.20
0.20
0
0.00
-
W. Smallbone
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
-
J. Aribo
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
R. Stewart
0.60
1.60
0.60
0.00
-
C. Archer
0.80
1.20
0.40
0.40
-
B. Brereton
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
A. Armstrong
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.20
-
R. Fraser
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
Jay Robinson
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
A. Malanda
0.40
0.40
2
-
-
L. Ayling
0.80
2.40
1
-
-
S. Brynn
0.20
0.00
1
-
-
D. Fry
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
A. Jones
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
Neto Borges
0.40
1.00
0
-
-
G. Edmundson
0.20
0.00
0
-
-
A. Bangura
0.20
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
A. Morris
1.00
2.40
0
0.20
-
H. Hackney
1.40
1.00
0
0.40
-
F. Azaz
0.80
1.40
2
0.00
-
R. McGree
0.80
0.80
1
0.00
-
C. Brittain
1.40
0.00
2
0.20
-
A. Browne
0.40
1.00
0
0.00
-
M. Targett
0.60
0.40
0
0.20
-
S. Silvera
0.20
0.60
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
T. Conway
1.00
1.40
0.60
0.00
-
D. Strelec
0.60
1.40
0.40
0.00
-
D. Burgzorg
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.20
-
M. Whittaker
0.20
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
A. Gilbert
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
K. Sène
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Head to Head

9 previous meetings

Southampton 3W3D3W Middlesbrough
9 May 26
Middlesbrough0 - 0Southampton
Championship
4 Jan 26
Middlesbrough4 - 0Southampton
Championship
27 Sept 25
Southampton1 - 1Middlesbrough
Championship
29 Mar 24
Southampton1 - 1Middlesbrough
Championship
23 Sept 23
Middlesbrough2 - 1Southampton
Championship

Data-Led Match Summary

Southampton come into this Championship fixture averaging 15.5 shots, 10.5 fouls, and 1.6 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Middlesbrough are returning 19.8 shots, 8.8 fouls, and 1.6 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for A. Madley to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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