Algorithm
Model Logic
Transparency is our core principle. We don't just give you a number—we show you the work behind the prediction.
1. Data Ingestion
We pull granular match events from elite data feeds every hour. This includes every foul, shot, card, and corner across the Premier League, Championship, Bundesliga, La Liga, and Serie A.
{ status: "processing", sources: ["API-Football", "ESPN"], cadence: "60s" }
2. Feature Engineering
Our model doesn't just look at goals. We weight metrics like Total Touches in Area, Referee Card Tendency, and Defensive Discipline to calculate a fixture's Volatility Score.
3. Weighted Probability
The final win/draw/loss percentages are generated using a Poisson Distribution model, adjusted for recent team form (Last 10) and head-to-head historical data.