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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"AC Milan host Fiorentina in what promises to be a statistically significant matchup. AC Milan have been relatively disciplined, with an average of 10.0 fouls over their last 10 outings. On the other side, Fiorentina are picking up cards at a high rate (2.4 per game), which could be a key factor in the cards market. "

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both AC Milan and Fiorentina to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls21.2
Goal Potential~ 2.0 xG
VolatilityLOW

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 1 Meetings)

AC MilanFiorentina
Goals
1.0
1.0
Shots
13.0
20.0
Shots on Target
3.0
7.0
Fouls
14.0
10.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Corners
5.0
8.0
Possession
48%
52%

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Serie A encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

AC Milan

2

Final Score

Fiorentina

1

Overall Possession

AC

56%

Fio

44%

14Shots5
4Shots on Target1
14Fouls Committed12
1Corners3
0Tackles0
Discipline
0Offsides
2Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 14 fouls for AC Milan. Compared to their season average of 10.0, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 3 yellows were shown to the home side.Fiorentina recorded 3 cards, against a historical average of 2.4.

Referee Impact Recap

Livio Marinelli, Italy oversaw a match with 6 total cards. This met the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Serie A.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 21.2 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 12:44:34 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

0.80Goals For1.60
1.40Goals Conceded0.60
13.00Shots For9.40
3.20Shots On Target3.60
4.20Corners3.40
9.80Fouls Committed12.40
1.00Yellow Cards2.20

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
Álex Jiménez
1.20
1.00
2
-
-
F. Tomori
1.20
0.40
1
-
-
S. Pavlović
1.20
0.80
1
-
-
F. Terracciano
0.60
0.60
1
-
-
K. De Winter
1.00
0.20
0
-
-
M. Gabbia
0.80
0.00
0
-
-
M. Maignan
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
L. Modrić
1.00
1.00
0
0.00
-
S. Ricci
0.60
1.40
0
0.00
-
W. Bondo
1.20
0.60
1
0.00
-
R. Loftus-Cheek
1.00
0.40
0
0.00
-
Y. Musah
0.40
0.80
0
0.00
-
Z. Athekame
0.40
0.60
0
0.20
-
P. Estupiñán
0.80
0.20
1
0.00
-
D. Bartesaghi
0.40
0.60
0
0.00
-
Y. Fofana
0.60
0.20
0
0.00
-
A. Jashari
0.60
0.00
0
0.20
-
T. Pobega
0.20
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
L. Colombo
1.00
1.80
0.20
0.00
-
Rafael Leão
0.20
1.80
0.00
0.20
-
S. Chukwueze
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
A. Saelemaekers
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
C. Pulišić
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.20
-
N. Füllkrug
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
F. Camarda
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
S. Giménez
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
C. Nkunku
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
M. Pongračić
2.00
0.20
1
-
-
Dodô
1.00
0.40
2
-
-
Pablo Marí
1.60
0.60
1
-
-
F. Parisi
1.00
3.20
1
-
-
David de Gea
0.00
0.20
1
-
-
T. Lamptey
0.80
0.80
0
-
-
R. Gosens
0.40
1.00
0
-
-
P. Comuzzo
0.20
0.00
0
-
-
L. Ranieri
0.00
0.60
0
-
-
N. Fortini
0.00
0.60
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
L. Beltrán
1.80
3.00
0
0.40
-
R. Mandragora
1.00
1.80
1
0.40
-
C. Ndour
1.40
0.80
1
0.00
-
N. Fagioli
1.00
1.00
1
0.00
-
S. Sohm
1.20
0.40
0
0.00
-
J. Fazzini
0.60
0.60
1
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
M. Kean
0.80
1.40
0.40
0.00
-
A. Guðmundsson
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.20
-
M'Bala Nzola
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.20
-
J. Harrison
0.40
0.60
0.20
0.40
-
R. Piccoli
0.20
0.60
0.20
0.20
-
M. Solomon
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
-
R. Sottil
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.20
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

AC Milan come into this Serie A fixture averaging 13.2 shots, 10.0 fouls, and 1.4 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Fiorentina are returning 11.2 shots, 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Serie A fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Livio Marinelli, Italy to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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