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Nacional vs Estrela Match Page

Kickoff

15:30 • GW 28

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Nacional host Estrela in what promises to be a statistically significant matchup. Nacional have shown a high level of aggression recently, averaging 15.0 fouls per game. On the other side, Estrela are picking up cards at a high rate (2.8 per game), which could be a key factor in the cards market. "

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Nacional and Estrela to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls28.7
Goal Potential~ 2.5 xG
VolatilityHIGH

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 1 Meetings)

NacionalEstrela
Goals
1.0
1.0
Shots
17.0
14.0
Shots on Target
4.0
4.0
Fouls
15.0
12.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
3.0
Corners
6.0
2.0
Possession
38%
62%

Nacional vs Estrela Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Primeira Liga encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Nacional

2

Final Score

Estrela

0

Overall Possession

Nac

49%

Est

51%

16Shots11
4Shots on Target2
14Fouls Committed8
5Corners6
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
5Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 14 fouls for Nacional. Compared to their season average of 15.0, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 4 yellows were shown to the home side.Estrela recorded 3 cards, against a historical average of 2.8.

Referee Impact Recap

J. Goncalves oversaw a match with 7 total cards. This met the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Primeira Liga.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 28.7 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 1:32:33 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.20Goals For1.00
0.80Goals Conceded1.60
13.60Shots For9.20
4.40Shots On Target2.80
5.40Corners2.20
14.20Fouls Committed13.80
2.60Yellow Cards3.20

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
Ulisses
1.80
0.40
4
-
-
Zé Vitor
2.60
0.60
2
-
-
José Gomes
1.60
1.00
1
-
-
L. Vallier
0.60
1.00
2
-
-
Léo Santos
1.00
0.60
1
-
-
João Aurélio
0.40
0.40
1
-
-
Lucas França
0.00
0.00
1
-
-
Francisco Gonçalves
0.80
0.60
0
-
-
A. Núñez
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
Kaique
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
Daniel Júnior
1.40
1.80
0
0.20
-
Filipe Soares
1.20
1.40
1
0.00
-
Liziero
1.00
1.40
1
0.00
-
C. Labidi
1.60
0.60
2
0.00
-
Matheus Dias
1.20
0.60
2
0.00
-
André Carreira Sousa
0.00
0.60
0
0.20
-
Miguel Baeza
0.40
0.40
0
0.00
-
Joel da Silva
0.80
0.00
1
0.00
-
Martim Watts
0.60
0.00
1
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Ramírez
1.60
3.00
0.80
0.00
-
Paulinho Bóia
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.00
-
Lucas João
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
Witi
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.20
-
Gabriel Veron
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
Pablo Ruan
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
M. Nourani
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
Jefferson Encada
1.20
0.60
3
-
-
S. Leković
1.00
0.80
3
-
-
Luan Patrick
1.40
0.20
2
-
-
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
0.60
0.60
2
-
-
Renan Ribeiro
0.20
0.00
2
-
-
S. Lopes Cabral
1.00
1.20
1
-
-
Bernardo Schappo
0.80
0.20
1
-
-
M. Scholze
0.60
0.40
1
-
-
Otávio
0.40
0.60
1
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
Bruno Langa
1.20
2.20
0
0.00
-
Robinho
1.80
0.80
1
0.00
-
Alexandre Sola
1.40
1.00
1
0.00
-
O. Ngom
1.40
0.80
2
0.00
-
Paulo Moreira
1.00
1.00
0
0.00
-
Eddy Doue
0.60
1.40
0
0.00
-
K. Höög Jansson
0.60
0.20
1
0.00
-
T. Moustier
0.60
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
I. Stoica
0.40
1.80
0.20
0.00
-
Rodrigo Pinho
0.60
1.60
0.00
0.00
-
Jovane Cabral
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.20
-
Kikas
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.00
-
A. Marcus
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
Alan Godoy
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.00
-
S. van Hooijdonk
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.20
-
Alisson
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
L. Antonetti
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
Jorge Meireles
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
João Gastão
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

Nacional come into this Primeira Liga fixture averaging 13.6 shots, 15.0 fouls, and 3.2 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Estrela are returning 10.9 shots, 13.7 fouls, and 2.8 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Primeira Liga fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for J. Goncalves to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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