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Estrela vs Nacional Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Estrela host Nacional in what promises to be a statistically significant matchup. Estrela have shown a high level of aggression recently, averaging 13.7 fouls per game. On the other side, Nacional are picking up cards at a high rate (3.2 per game), which could be a key factor in the cards market. "

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Estrela and Nacional to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls28.7
Goal Potential~ 2.5 xG
VolatilityHIGH

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 1 Meetings)

EstrelaNacional
Goals
0.0
2.0
Shots
11.0
16.0
Shots on Target
2.0
4.0
Fouls
8.0
14.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
4.0
Corners
6.0
5.0
Possession
51%
49%

Estrela vs Nacional Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Primeira Liga encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Estrela

1

Final Score

Nacional

1

Overall Possession

Est

62%

Nac

38%

14Shots17
4Shots on Target4
12Fouls Committed15
2Corners6
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
0Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 12 fouls for Estrela. Compared to their season average of 13.7, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 3 yellows were shown to the home side.Nacional recorded 4 cards, against a historical average of 3.2.

Referee Impact Recap

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal oversaw a match with 7 total cards. This met the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Primeira Liga.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 28.7 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 1:50:03 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.00Goals For1.20
1.60Goals Conceded0.80
9.20Shots For13.60
2.80Shots On Target4.40
2.20Corners5.40
13.80Fouls Committed14.20
3.20Yellow Cards2.60

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
Jefferson Encada
1.20
0.60
3
-
-
S. Leković
1.00
0.80
3
-
-
Luan Patrick
1.40
0.20
2
-
-
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
0.60
0.60
2
-
-
Renan Ribeiro
0.20
0.00
2
-
-
S. Lopes Cabral
1.00
1.20
1
-
-
Bernardo Schappo
0.80
0.20
1
-
-
M. Scholze
0.60
0.40
1
-
-
Otávio
0.40
0.60
1
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
Bruno Langa
1.20
2.20
0
0.00
-
Robinho
1.80
0.80
1
0.00
-
Alexandre Sola
1.40
1.00
1
0.00
-
O. Ngom
1.40
0.80
2
0.00
-
Paulo Moreira
1.00
1.00
0
0.00
-
Eddy Doue
0.60
1.40
0
0.00
-
K. Höög Jansson
0.60
0.20
1
0.00
-
T. Moustier
0.60
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
I. Stoica
0.40
1.80
0.20
0.00
-
Rodrigo Pinho
0.60
1.60
0.00
0.00
-
Jovane Cabral
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.20
-
Kikas
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.00
-
A. Marcus
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
Alan Godoy
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.00
-
S. van Hooijdonk
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.20
-
Alisson
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
L. Antonetti
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
Jorge Meireles
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
João Gastão
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
Ulisses
1.80
0.40
4
-
-
Zé Vitor
2.60
0.60
2
-
-
José Gomes
1.60
1.00
1
-
-
L. Vallier
0.60
1.00
2
-
-
Léo Santos
1.00
0.60
1
-
-
João Aurélio
0.40
0.40
1
-
-
Lucas França
0.00
0.00
1
-
-
Francisco Gonçalves
0.80
0.60
0
-
-
A. Núñez
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
Kaique
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
Daniel Júnior
1.40
1.80
0
0.20
-
Filipe Soares
1.20
1.40
1
0.00
-
Liziero
1.00
1.40
1
0.00
-
C. Labidi
1.60
0.60
2
0.00
-
Matheus Dias
1.20
0.60
2
0.00
-
André Carreira Sousa
0.00
0.60
0
0.20
-
Miguel Baeza
0.40
0.40
0
0.00
-
Joel da Silva
0.80
0.00
1
0.00
-
Martim Watts
0.60
0.00
1
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Ramírez
1.60
3.00
0.80
0.00
-
Paulinho Bóia
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.00
-
Lucas João
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
-
Witi
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.20
-
Gabriel Veron
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
Pablo Ruan
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
M. Nourani
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

Estrela come into this Primeira Liga fixture averaging 10.9 shots, 13.7 fouls, and 2.8 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Nacional are returning 13.6 shots, 15.0 fouls, and 3.2 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Primeira Liga fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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