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Manchester City vs Aston Villa Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : Manchester City or draw"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Manchester City and Aston Villa to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 45%Draw 45%Away 10%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls16.6
Goal Potential~ 3.1 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Manchester City coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

Manchester CityAston Villa
Goals
0.7
1.7
Shots
14.7
9.0
Shots on Target
5.3
4.0
Fouls
10.7
10.7
Yellow Cards
3.3
2.3
Corners
6.7
4.0
Possession
57%
43%

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Premier League encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Manchester City

1

Final Score

Aston Villa

2

Overall Possession

Man

52%

Ast

48%

16Shots12
3Shots on Target5
8Fouls Committed4
9Corners4
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
1Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 8 fouls for Manchester City. Compared to their season average of 7.9, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 1 yellows were shown to the home side.Aston Villa recorded 0 cards, against a historical average of 1.5.

Referee Impact Recap

A. Madley oversaw a match with 1 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Premier League.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 16.6 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 11:46:43 PM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

2.20Goals For1.80
1.20Goals Conceded1.60
18.00Shots For11.80
5.20Shots On Target4.60
8.60Corners5.20
7.60Fouls Committed9.60
1.40Yellow Cards1.60

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
R. Lewis
0.60
1.40
1
-
-
R. Aït-Nouri
1.20
0.40
0
-
-
J. Gvardiol
0.60
0.80
0
-
-
A. Khusanov
0.60
0.20
0
-
-
Rúben Dias
0.40
0.00
0
-
-
N. Aké
0.20
0.40
0
-
-
J. Stones
0.00
0.20
0
-
-
S. Ortega
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
N. O'Reilly
2.00
1.00
1
0.00
-
Rodri
0.60
1.20
1
0.00
-
P. Foden
0.40
0.80
0
0.40
-
R. Cherki
0.20
0.60
0
0.40
-
Matheus Nunes
0.60
0.60
1
0.00
-
Nico González
0.60
0.20
0
0.00
-
T. Reijnders
0.40
0.40
0
0.00
-
M. Kovačić
0.00
0.40
0
0.20
-
Bernardo Silva
0.20
0.20
1
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
E. Haaland
1.80
3.00
1.00
0.20
-
J. Doku
1.00
1.20
0.60
0.00
-
Omar Marmoush
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.20
-
Sávio
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.00
-
Oscar Bobb
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
T. Mings
1.00
0.80
1
-
-
Pau Torres
0.60
0.20
1
-
-
M. Cash
0.40
0.60
1
-
-
I. Maatsen
1.00
0.60
0
-
-
M. Bizot
0.00
0.20
1
-
-
L. Digne
0.60
0.20
0
-
-
L. Bogarde
0.60
0.60
0
-
-
V. Lindelöf
0.20
0.00
0
-
-
Andrés García
0.20
0.00
0
-
-
E. Konsa
0.00
1.80
0
-
-
E. Martínez
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
B. Kamara
1.80
2.00
0
0.00
-
E. Buendía
1.20
2.20
0
0.00
-
M. Rogers
1.40
1.60
1
0.20
-
Y. Tielemans
0.60
2.00
0
0.00
-
J. McGinn
1.00
1.00
1
0.40
-
R. Barkley
1.20
0.40
1
0.20
-
A. Onana
0.60
0.40
1
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
O. Watkins
1.80
2.60
1.00
0.20
-
E. Guessand
0.20
0.40
0.20
0.00
-
J. Sancho
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.20
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Head to Head

10 previous meetings

Manchester City 6W1D3W Aston Villa
26 Oct 25
Aston Villa1 - 0Manchester City
Premier League
22 Apr 25
Manchester City2 - 1Aston Villa
Premier League
21 Dec 24
Aston Villa2 - 1Manchester City
Premier League
3 Apr 24
Manchester City4 - 1Aston Villa
Premier League
6 Dec 23
Aston Villa1 - 0Manchester City
Premier League

Data-Led Match Summary

Manchester City come into this Premier League fixture averaging 19.5 shots, 7.9 fouls, and 1.2 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Aston Villa are returning 12.4 shots, 8.7 fouls, and 1.5 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Premier League fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for A. Madley to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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