What are the betting stats for Derby vs Watford?

In-depth stats including 10-match averages for fouls, shots, and cards. Derby averages approximately 12.5 fouls per game.

Who is the referee for Derby vs Watford?

The assigned official for this match is Gavin Ward. Our model tracks historical card rates for this referee.

Derby vs Watford Stats & Cheat Sheet

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Watford

Referee

Gavin Ward

Kickoff

15:00 • GW 27

Recent Form Tracking:Derby: Derby vs Oxford United Watford: Watford vs Sheffield Utd

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Derby host Watford in what promises to be a statistically significant matchup. Derby have shown a high level of aggression recently, averaging 12.5 fouls per game. On the other side, Watford are picking up cards at a high rate (2.5 per game), which could be a key factor in the cards market. "

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Derby and Watford to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls24.1

Goal Potential~ 2.4 xG

VolatilityHIGH

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

DerbyWatford

Goals

0.7

2.3

Shots

6.3

16.7

Shots on Target

1.3

6.7

Fouls

10.0

13.7

Yellow Cards

2.0

1.7

Corners

4.3

2.3

Possession

49%

51%

Derby vs Watford Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Derby

Final Score

Watford

Overall Possession

Der

56%

Wat

44%

15Shots15

3Shots on Target6

11Fouls Committed11

4Corners8

0Tackles0

Discipline

1Offsides

Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 11 fouls for Derby. Compared to their season average of 12.5, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 1 yellows were shown to the home side.Watford recorded 3 cards, against a historical average of 2.5.

Referee Impact Recap

Gavin Ward oversaw a match with 4 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 24.1 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 2:16:21 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

Derby Averages

Goals For1.40

Goals Conceded1.00

Shots For13.80

Shots On Target3.60

Corners4.20

Fouls Committed14.60

Yellow Cards2.20

Watford Averages

0.40Goals For

1.40Goals Conceded

14.00Shots For

4.20Shots On Target

8.00Corners

12.00Fouls Committed

2.60Yellow Cards

DerbyVS

Watford

1.40Goals For0.40

1.00Goals Conceded1.40

13.80Shots For14.00

3.60Shots On Target4.20

4.20Corners8.00

14.60Fouls Committed12.00

2.20Yellow Cards2.60

Defensive

Player	Fouls	Fouls Won	Yellows	1+ Fouls	2+ Fouls
C. Elder	1.20	0.20	2	-	-
D. Batth	1.40	0.80	1	-	-
S. Langås	0.60	0.40	0	-	-
M. Clarke	0.40	1.20	0	-	-
C. Forsyth	0.00	0.40	0	-	-
J. Vickers	0.00	0.40	0	-	-
J. Widell Zetterström	0.00	0.20	0	-	-

Offensive

Player	Fouls	Fouls Won	Yellows	Assists	1+ F Won
D. Ozoh	1.80	0.80	1	0.00	-
J. Banel	1.00	1.00	1	0.00	-
B. Clark	1.00	0.60	1	0.20	-
L. Thompson	0.80	0.40	1	0.00	-
J. Ward	0.20	0.80	0	0.00	-
M. Johnston	0.40	0.00	0	0.00	-

Shooting

Player	SoT	Shots	Goals	Assists	1+ SoT
C. Morris	0.60	1.20	0.40	0.20	-
P. Agyemang	0.80	1.20	0.00	0.00	-
R. Brewster	0.40	1.00	0.40	0.20	-
E. Adams	0.20	1.40	0.00	0.00	-
L. Salvesen	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-

Defensive

Player	Fouls	Fouls Won	Yellows	1+ Fouls	2+ Fouls
J. Ngakia	1.40	0.20	2	-	-
M. Pollock	1.60	0.80	1	-	-
J. Abankwah	1.60	1.00	1	-	-
E. Selvik	0.00	0.40	2	-	-
S. Mfuni	0.20	0.40	1	-	-
J. Pétris	0.60	1.80	0	-	-
M. Bola	0.60	0.20	0	-	-
K. Keben	0.60	0.60	0	-	-
N. Baxter	0.00	0.00	0	-	-

Offensive

Player	Fouls	Fouls Won	Yellows	Assists	1+ F Won
I. Louza	1.40	1.60	3	0.20	-
N. Irankunda	1.40	1.40	1	0.00	-
H. Kyprianou	0.80	1.60	2	0.00	-
N. Mendy	0.60	0.80	1	0.00	-
E. Bove	1.00	0.00	2	0.00	-
G. Chakvetadze	0.20	0.80	0	0.00	-
O. Maamma	0.20	0.40	0	0.00	-
T. Ince	0.20	0.20	0	0.00	-

Shooting

Player	SoT	Shots	Goals	1+ SoT
R. Vata	0.60	1.40	0.20	-
E. Kayembe	0.60	1.40	0.20	-
L. Kjerrumgaard	0.80	1.00	0.20	-
M. Doumbia	0.40	1.40	0.00	-
Vivaldo Semedo	0.40	0.40	0.20	-
K. Baah	0.00	0.40	0.00	-

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Data-Led Match Summary

Derby come into this Championship fixture averaging 13.8 shots, 12.5 fouls, and 2.6 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Watford are returning 13.9 shots, 11.6 fouls, and 2.5 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Gavin Ward to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.