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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Winner : Bayern München"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 10%Draw 45%Away 45%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls18.0
Goal Potential~ 3.8 xG
VolatilityLOW

Stat Comparison

Last 10 Games Average

FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
Goals
1.3
3.5
Shots
11.8
21.5
Shots on Target
4.6
8.2
Fouls
9.5
8.5
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.8
Corners
4.6
7.2
Possession
42%
69%
1.40Goals For3.40
0.80Goals Conceded1.00
11.00Shots For22.20
4.40Shots On Target8.00
4.80Corners7.20
8.40Fouls Committed8.80
1.40Yellow Cards2.00

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
D. Kohr
1.60
1.20
2
-
-
S. Bell
1.00
0.60
2
-
-
K. Potulski
1.20
0.60
1
-
-
A. Hanche-Olsen
1.20
0.60
1
-
-
R. Zentner
0.40
0.20
1
-
-
P. Mwene
0.20
1.20
1
-
-
S. Widmer
0.40
0.40
0
-
-
D. da Costa
0.20
0.20
0
-
-
D. Batz
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
P. Nebel
1.00
1.00
0
0.00
-
A. Caci
1.00
0.60
2
0.00
-
K. Sano
0.40
1.00
0
0.00
-
N. Amiri
0.00
1.20
1
0.00
-
N. Veratschnig
0.40
0.40
1
0.00
-
S. Kawasaki
0.40
0.20
0
0.00
-
L. Maloney
0.20
0.00
1
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
B. Hollerbach
0.80
1.60
0.20
0.20
-
Lee Jae-Sung
0.60
1.00
0.40
0.00
-
S. Katompa Mvumpa
0.60
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
N. Weiper
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
W. Bøving
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.20
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
J. Stanišić
0.40
0.40
0
-
-
Kim Min-Jae
0.20
0.20
0
-
-
Daniel Peretz
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
M. Olise
1.00
2.60
2
0.40
-
L. Díaz
1.80
1.00
2
0.60
-
João Palhinha
1.00
0.60
1
0.00
-
A. Ibrahimović
0.60
1.00
0
0.00
-
J. Kimmich
0.20
1.20
0
0.00
-
T. Bischof
0.80
0.20
0
0.00
-
L. Goretzka
0.40
0.20
0
0.20
-
K. Laimer
0.40
0.00
1
0.40
-
Raphaël Guerreiro
0.20
0.20
0
0.00
-
F. Chávez
0.00
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
N. Jackson
1.40
2.00
0.60
0.20
-
A. Sieb
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
J. Kusi-Asare
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Tactical Insights

A data-driven breakdown of the statistical trends for this Bundesliga clash. From foul markets to card volatility, we analyze the metrics that define the game.

Tactical Context

When FSV Mainz 05 face Bayern München, the tactical battle often centers on mid-block stability. FSV Mainz 05 have averaged 9.5 fouls per game in their last 10 outings, suggesting a high-press system that frequently disrupts play.

Conversely, Bayern München show a tendency for controlled card exposure, currently tracking at 1.8 yellow cards per match.

Referee & Market Impact

The match official for this fixture is to be confirmed. Once the appointment is finalized, our model will incorporate historical card-per-foul ratios and disciplinary trends for the selected referee.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 18.0 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 11:05:30 PM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

Data-Led Match Summary

FSV Mainz 05 come into this Bundesliga fixture averaging 11.8 shots, 9.5 fouls, and 1.6 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Bayern München are returning 21.5 shots, 8.5 fouls, and 1.8 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Bundesliga fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for the assigned official to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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