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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Winner : Bayern München"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 10%Draw 45%Away 45%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls17.2
Goal Potential~ 4.0 xG
VolatilityLOW

Stat Comparison

Last 10 Games Average

FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
Goals
1.7
3.4
Shots
14.0
19.8
Shots on Target
5.4
7.8
Fouls
9.4
7.8
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.7
Corners
5.0
6.8
Possession
43%
70%

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Bundesliga encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

FSV Mainz 05

3

Final Score

Bayern München

4

Overall Possession

FSV

30%

Bay

70%

21Shots11
8Shots on Target6
14Fouls Committed10
4Corners4
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
0Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 14 fouls for FSV Mainz 05. Compared to their season average of 9.4, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 1 yellows were shown to the home side.Bayern München recorded 2 cards, against a historical average of 1.7.

Referee Impact Recap

Martin Petersen, Germany oversaw a match with 3 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Bundesliga.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 17.2 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 12:52:45 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.80Goals For3.40
1.80Goals Conceded1.80
16.80Shots For19.40
6.60Shots On Target7.60
5.40Corners7.20
10.60Fouls Committed6.60
1.40Yellow Cards1.20

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
D. Kohr
1.20
1.20
2
-
-
S. Bell
1.00
0.60
2
-
-
A. Hanche-Olsen
1.20
0.60
1
-
-
N. Veratschnig
0.40
0.60
1
-
-
K. Potulski
1.20
0.80
0
-
-
R. Zentner
0.20
0.00
1
-
-
D. Batz
0.00
0.00
1
-
-
D. da Costa
0.20
1.00
0
-
-
S. Widmer
0.20
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
P. Mwene
1.00
1.40
0
0.00
-
N. Amiri
0.60
1.20
0
0.00
-
K. Sano
0.80
0.60
0
0.20
-
A. Caci
0.80
0.00
2
0.00
-
S. Kawasaki
0.40
0.20
0
0.00
-
L. Maloney
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
B. Hollerbach
0.80
1.60
0.20
0.20
-
P. Nebel
0.60
1.20
0.20
0.20
-
S. Katompa Mvumpa
0.60
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
Lee Jae-Sung
0.40
0.40
0.20
0.00
-
N. Weiper
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
W. Bøving
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
K. Laimer
1.40
0.60
3
-
-
J. Tah
0.40
0.00
1
-
-
D. Upamecano
0.40
0.00
1
-
-
H. Ito
0.60
0.40
0
-
-
J. Stanišić
0.60
0.00
0
-
-
Raphaël Guerreiro
0.20
0.20
0
-
-
Kim Min-Jae
0.20
0.40
0
-
-
Daniel Peretz
0.00
0.00
0
-
-
J. Urbig
0.00
0.20
0
-
-
A. Davies
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
L. Díaz
0.80
1.00
0
0.60
-
M. Olise
0.40
1.40
1
0.20
-
João Palhinha
1.00
0.60
1
0.00
-
T. Bischof
1.00
0.60
0
0.00
-
A. Ibrahimović
0.60
0.40
0
0.40
-
J. Musiala
0.40
0.80
0
0.20
-
L. Goretzka
0.40
0.60
0
0.20
-
L. Karl
0.20
0.20
1
0.40
-
J. Kimmich
0.20
0.20
0
0.40
-
F. Chávez
0.20
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
H. Kane
1.20
1.80
1.00
0.00
-
N. Jackson
1.40
1.80
0.60
0.00
-
A. Sieb
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
J. Kusi-Asare
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

FSV Mainz 05 come into this Bundesliga fixture averaging 14.0 shots, 9.4 fouls, and 1.2 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Bayern München are returning 19.8 shots, 7.8 fouls, and 1.7 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Bundesliga fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Martin Petersen, Germany to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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