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Derby vs Birmingham Match Page

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : Derby or draw"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Derby and Birmingham to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 45%Draw 45%Away 10%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls25.7
Goal Potential~ 2.5 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Derby coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 2 Meetings)

DerbyBirmingham
Goals
1.0
1.0
Shots
5.0
25.0
Shots on Target
1.0
9.0
Fouls
13.0
17.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
3.0
Corners
1.0
12.0
Possession
26%
74%

Derby vs Birmingham Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Derby

1

Final Score

Birmingham

0

Overall Possession

Der

51%

Bir

49%

17Shots2
6Shots on Target0
12Fouls Committed16
6Corners2
0Tackles0
Discipline
3Offsides
2Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 12 fouls for Derby. Compared to their season average of 12.5, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 1 yellows were shown to the home side.Birmingham recorded 4 cards, against a historical average of 2.0.

Referee Impact Recap

Gavin Ward, England oversaw a match with 5 total cards. This met the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 25.7 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 12:36:51 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.40Goals For0.80
1.00Goals Conceded1.00
13.80Shots For9.80
3.60Shots On Target4.40
4.20Corners5.40
14.60Fouls Committed15.00
2.20Yellow Cards2.00

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
C. Elder
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
D. Batth
1.40
0.80
1
-
-
S. Langås
0.60
0.40
0
-
-
M. Clarke
0.40
1.20
0
-
-
C. Forsyth
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Vickers
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Widell Zetterström
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
D. Ozoh
1.80
0.80
1
0.00
-
J. Banel
1.00
1.00
1
0.00
-
B. Clark
1.00
0.60
1
0.20
-
L. Thompson
0.80
0.40
1
0.00
-
J. Ward
0.20
0.80
0
0.00
-
M. Johnston
0.40
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Morris
0.60
1.20
0.40
0.20
-
P. Agyemang
0.80
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
R. Brewster
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.20
-
E. Adams
0.20
1.40
0.00
0.00
-
L. Salvesen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
D. Sanderson
2.20
0.20
1
-
-
P. Neumann
1.80
0.60
1
-
-
K. Bielik
1.00
0.20
1
-
-
R. Allsop
0.00
0.60
2
-
-
A. Cochrane
0.60
0.00
1
-
-
C. Klarer
0.60
0.40
0
-
-
K. Wagner
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
E. Laird
0.40
0.40
0
-
-
E. Cashin
0.40
0.00
0
-
-
B. Osayi-Samuel
0.20
0.60
0
-
-
J. Beadle
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
J. Stansfield
2.40
0.40
1
0.00
-
K. Anderson
0.40
1.60
1
0.00
-
Paik Seung-Ho
1.20
0.40
0
0.20
-
T. Gardner-Hickman
1.00
0.80
2
0.00
-
T. Iwata
1.40
0.40
0
0.00
-
P. Roberts
0.80
0.40
0
0.00
-
K. Fujimoto
1.00
0.20
0
0.00
-
T. Doyle
0.00
0.60
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
M. Ducksch
1.00
1.80
0.20
0.00
-
L. Dykes
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.00
-
K. Furuhashi
0.20
0.40
0.20
0.00
-
A. Priske
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
D. Gray
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
L. Koumas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

Derby come into this Championship fixture averaging 13.8 shots, 12.5 fouls, and 2.6 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Birmingham are returning 10.9 shots, 13.2 fouls, and 2.0 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Gavin Ward, England to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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