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QPR vs Derby Match Page

Referee

J. Busby

Kickoff

15:00 • GW 45

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : QPR or draw"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both QPR and Derby to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 45%Draw 45%Away 10%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls26.3
Goal Potential~ 2.6 xG
VolatilityHIGH
Expert Advice
QPR coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

QPRDerby
Goals
1.3
1.0
Shots
9.7
9.7
Shots on Target
3.0
3.3
Fouls
9.7
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.7
Corners
4.3
4.7
Possession
53%
47%

QPR vs Derby Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

QPR

2

Final Score

Derby

3

Overall Possession

QPR

55%

Der

45%

23Shots12
12Shots on Target3
12Fouls Committed8
10Corners6
0Tackles0
Discipline
2Offsides
1Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 12 fouls for QPR. Compared to their season average of 12.6, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 1 yellows were shown to the home side.Derby recorded 3 cards, against a historical average of 3.0.

Referee Impact Recap

J. Busby oversaw a match with 4 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 26.3 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 12:51:07 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

0.60Goals For1.40
2.00Goals Conceded1.60
12.60Shots For12.80
4.80Shots On Target4.40
5.80Corners5.00
12.60Fouls Committed13.20
2.40Yellow Cards3.20

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
A. Mbengue
1.20
0.40
2
-
-
Kieran Morgan
0.60
0.00
1
-
-
J. Dunne
1.00
0.40
0
-
-
João Henrique
0.40
0.80
0
-
-
K. Adamson
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
J. Clarke-Salter
0.20
0.00
0
-
-
S. Cook
0.00
0.80
0
-
-
B. Hamer
0.00
0.20
0
-
-
P. Nardi
0.00
0.20
0
-
-
J. Walsh
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
P. Smyth
2.20
2.20
2
0.00
-
K. Dembélé
0.60
1.40
1
0.00
-
H. Vale
0.80
1.00
2
0.00
-
S. Field
0.60
1.00
1
0.20
-
I. Hayden
1.20
0.20
1
0.20
-
I. Chair
0.40
0.20
0
0.40
-
J. Varane
0.40
0.40
0
0.00
-
N. Madsen
0.20
0.20
0
0.20
-
K. Poku
0.40
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
R. Burrell
0.60
1.00
0.20
0.40
-
Rayan Jawad Kolli
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.00
-
D. Bennie
0.20
0.40
0.20
0.00
-
K. Saito
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
S. Langås
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
C. Elder
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
M. Clarke
0.60
0.80
2
-
-
D. Batth
1.40
0.80
1
-
-
C. Forsyth
0.20
0.20
0
-
-
J. Vickers
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Widell Zetterström
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
J. Ward
0.60
1.20
0
0.20
-
J. Banel
0.80
1.20
0
0.00
-
B. Clark
1.00
0.80
1
0.20
-
D. Ozoh
1.00
0.60
1
0.00
-
L. Thompson
0.80
0.40
1
0.00
-
M. Johnston
0.00
0.00
0
0.20
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Morris
1.00
1.20
0.20
0.20
-
P. Agyemang
0.80
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
R. Brewster
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.20
-
E. Adams
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.00
-
L. Salvesen
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

QPR come into this Championship fixture averaging 12.9 shots, 12.6 fouls, and 2.8 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Derby are returning 13.3 shots, 13.7 fouls, and 3.0 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for J. Busby to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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