Skip to content

Stoke City vs Millwall Match Page

Referee

J. Smith

Kickoff

19:45 • GW 44

Skip to detailed betting stats

Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : draw or Millwall"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Stoke City and Millwall to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 10%Draw 45%Away 45%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls23.2
Goal Potential~ 2.4 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Millwall coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

Stoke CityMillwall
Goals
0.3
1.3
Shots
7.7
11.3
Shots on Target
2.3
4.0
Fouls
11.0
9.7
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.0
Corners
5.3
4.0
Possession
58%
42%
0.80Goals For1.20
1.60Goals Conceded0.80
9.60Shots For11.20
2.20Shots On Target3.40
5.80Corners5.40
10.40Fouls Committed13.40
2.00Yellow Cards1.40

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
M. Talovierov
1.20
0.80
3
-
-
A. Phillips
1.00
0.00
2
-
-
J. Tchamadeu
0.60
1.60
2
-
-
B. Wilmot
0.40
0.40
1
-
-
B. Gibson
0.40
0.00
0
-
-
S. Thomas
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
A. Cresswell
0.20
0.60
0
-
-
E. Bocat
0.20
1.00
0
-
-
V. Johansson
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
L. Cissé
1.20
1.80
0
0.00
-
M. Manhoef
1.60
1.00
2
0.20
-
T. Seko
1.00
1.20
0
0.00
-
B. Pearson
1.40
0.60
1
0.00
-
Bae Jun-Ho
0.00
1.40
0
0.00
-
L. Baker
0.80
0.40
2
0.00
-
T. Rigo
0.40
0.20
1
0.20
-
S. Nzonzi
0.20
0.60
0
0.00
-
J. Donley
0.60
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
R. Boženík
0.60
1.00
0.20
0.00
-
S. Gallagher
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
D. Mubama
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
J. Cooper
1.20
0.60
1
-
-
J. Tanganga
0.80
0.60
1
-
-
J. Bryan
0.40
0.20
1
-
-
T. Crama
1.00
0.00
0
-
-
Zak Norton Sturge
1.00
0.80
0
-
-
D. McNamara
0.80
0.80
0
-
-
A. Doughty
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
A. Patterson
0.00
0.00
0
-
-
M. Crocombe
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
O. Azeez
2.80
0.80
2
0.00
-
J. Coburn
2.40
0.80
1
0.00
-
M. Luongo
2.60
0.40
0
0.00
-
C. De Norre
0.60
0.20
1
0.40
-
C. Neghli
0.40
0.60
0
0.20
-
D. Kelly
0.60
0.60
0
0.00
-
R. Leonard
0.80
0.20
1
0.00
-
B. Mitchell
0.60
0.40
1
0.00
-
D. Mazou-Sacko
0.60
0.00
1
0.20
-
L. Cundle
0.40
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
M. Ivanović
0.60
1.20
0.20
0.20
-
T. Ballo
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
Raees Bangura-Williams
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
A. Emakhu
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
T. Watson
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
M. Langstaff
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Head to Head

10 previous meetings

Stoke City 1W2D7W Millwall
21 Oct 25
Millwall2 - 0Stoke City
Championship
15 Mar 25
Millwall1 - 0Stoke City
Championship
9 Nov 24
Stoke City1 - 1Millwall
Championship
23 Dec 23
Stoke City0 - 0Millwall
Championship
26 Aug 23
Millwall1 - 0Stoke City
Championship

Stoke City vs Millwall Tactical Insights

A data-driven breakdown of the statistical trends for this Championship clash. From foul markets to card volatility, we analyze the metrics that define the game.

Tactical Context

When Stoke City face Millwall, the tactical battle often centers on mid-block stability. Stoke City have averaged 10.5 fouls per game in their last 10 outings, suggesting a high-press system that frequently disrupts play.

Conversely, Millwall show a tendency for controlled card exposure, currently tracking at 1.4 yellow cards per match.

Referee & Market Impact

The appointment of J. Smith is a critical variable. In their last 15 matches, they have averaged 3.87 yellow cards per game. With a 0.2 cards-per-foul ratio, this official shows a low threshold for disciplinary action.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 23.2 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 11:04:49 PM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

Data-Led Match Summary

Stoke City come into this Championship fixture averaging 11.4 shots, 10.5 fouls, and 2.3 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Millwall are returning 11.5 shots, 12.7 fouls, and 1.4 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for J. Smith to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

Logged-in users can leave plain-text comments and replies. Emoji are fine. Rich text is intentionally disabled.

Loading comments...