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Stoke City vs Millwall Match Page

Referee

J. Smith

Kickoff

19:45 • GW 44

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : draw or Millwall"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Stoke City and Millwall to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 10%Draw 45%Away 45%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls22.1
Goal Potential~ 2.4 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Millwall coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

Stoke CityMillwall
Goals
0.3
1.3
Shots
7.7
11.3
Shots on Target
2.3
4.0
Fouls
11.0
9.7
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.0
Corners
5.3
4.0
Possession
58%
42%

Stoke City vs Millwall Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Stoke City

1

Final Score

Millwall

3

Overall Possession

Sto

46%

Mil

54%

12Shots14
4Shots on Target6
8Fouls Committed11
11Corners1
0Tackles0
Discipline
3Offsides
4Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 8 fouls for Stoke City. Compared to their season average of 10.6, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 0 yellows were shown to the home side.Millwall recorded 3 cards, against a historical average of 1.6.

Referee Impact Recap

J. Smith oversaw a match with 3 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 22.1 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 2:04:41 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

0.60Goals For1.20
2.20Goals Conceded0.80
11.60Shots For16.40
2.40Shots On Target5.00
8.80Corners7.60
9.80Fouls Committed9.60
1.80Yellow Cards1.80

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
M. Talovierov
1.20
0.80
3
-
-
A. Phillips
1.40
0.00
2
-
-
J. Tchamadeu
0.40
1.00
1
-
-
B. Wilmot
0.40
0.40
1
-
-
B. Gibson
0.60
0.20
0
-
-
E. Bocat
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
A. Cresswell
0.20
0.60
0
-
-
V. Johansson
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
T. Seko
0.80
1.60
0
0.00
-
B. Pearson
1.00
0.60
2
0.00
-
Bae Jun-Ho
0.40
1.00
0
0.00
-
M. Manhoef
0.60
0.60
1
0.20
-
L. Baker
1.00
0.20
2
0.00
-
S. Thomas
0.00
1.00
0
0.20
-
Sydney Agina
0.40
0.40
1
0.00
-
T. Rigo
0.40
0.20
1
0.20
-
J. Donley
0.60
0.20
0
0.00
-
S. Nzonzi
0.00
0.60
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
L. Cissé
0.80
1.80
0.20
0.00
-
R. Boženík
0.80
1.40
0.20
0.00
-
S. Gallagher
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
D. Mubama
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
J. Tanganga
1.40
0.80
3
-
-
J. Cooper
1.40
0.60
1
-
-
D. McNamara
0.60
0.60
1
-
-
R. Leonard
0.60
1.20
1
-
-
J. Bryan
0.40
0.20
1
-
-
T. Crama
1.00
0.40
0
-
-
Zak Norton Sturge
1.00
1.00
0
-
-
A. Patterson
0.00
0.00
0
-
-
M. Crocombe
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
M. Luongo
2.60
0.40
0
0.00
-
O. Azeez
1.60
1.00
2
0.00
-
T. Ballo
1.40
1.00
2
0.20
-
D. Mazou-Sacko
0.40
1.00
1
0.20
-
A. Emakhu
0.80
0.40
1
0.00
-
D. Kelly
0.60
0.60
0
0.00
-
C. Neghli
0.40
0.40
0
0.20
-
C. De Norre
0.60
0.20
2
0.00
-
B. Mitchell
0.20
0.60
0
0.00
-
L. Cundle
0.20
0.00
0
0.00
-
A. Doughty
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
J. Coburn
0.80
1.20
0.20
0.00
-
M. Ivanović
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.20
-
Raees Bangura-Williams
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
M. Langstaff
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
-
T. Watson
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Head to Head

10 previous meetings

Stoke City 1W2D7W Millwall
21 Oct 25
Millwall2 - 0Stoke City
Championship
15 Mar 25
Millwall1 - 0Stoke City
Championship
9 Nov 24
Stoke City1 - 1Millwall
Championship
23 Dec 23
Stoke City0 - 0Millwall
Championship
26 Aug 23
Millwall1 - 0Stoke City
Championship

Data-Led Match Summary

Stoke City come into this Championship fixture averaging 12.4 shots, 10.6 fouls, and 1.7 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Millwall are returning 13.8 shots, 11.5 fouls, and 1.6 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for J. Smith to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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