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Derby vs Stoke City Match Page

Referee

E. Bell

Kickoff

15:00 • GW 41

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Double chance : Derby or draw"

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Derby and Stoke City to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Win Probabilities

Home 35%Draw 35%Away 30%

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls24.3
Goal Potential~ 2.3 xG
VolatilityLOW
Expert Advice
Derby coverage is recommended.

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

DerbyStoke City
Goals
0.7
1.7
Shots
8.0
9.7
Shots on Target
3.0
4.0
Fouls
12.7
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.3
Corners
4.0
6.7
Possession
44%
56%

Derby vs Stoke City Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Derby

2

Final Score

Stoke City

0

Overall Possession

Der

52%

Sto

48%

20Shots7
3Shots on Target0
18Fouls Committed10
5Corners3
0Tackles0
Discipline
0Offsides
1Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 18 fouls for Derby. Compared to their season average of 13.7, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 2 yellows were shown to the home side.Stoke City recorded 1 cards, against a historical average of 1.7.

Referee Impact Recap

E. Bell oversaw a match with 3 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 24.3 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 3:15:47 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.40Goals For0.60
1.60Goals Conceded2.20
12.80Shots For11.60
4.40Shots On Target2.40
5.00Corners8.80
13.20Fouls Committed9.80
3.20Yellow Cards1.80

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
S. Langås
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
C. Elder
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
M. Clarke
0.60
0.80
2
-
-
D. Batth
1.40
0.80
1
-
-
C. Forsyth
0.20
0.20
0
-
-
J. Vickers
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Widell Zetterström
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
J. Ward
0.60
1.20
0
0.20
-
J. Banel
0.80
1.20
0
0.00
-
B. Clark
1.00
0.80
1
0.20
-
D. Ozoh
1.00
0.60
1
0.00
-
L. Thompson
0.80
0.40
1
0.00
-
M. Johnston
0.00
0.00
0
0.20
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Morris
1.00
1.20
0.20
0.20
-
P. Agyemang
0.80
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
R. Brewster
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.20
-
E. Adams
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.00
-
L. Salvesen
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
M. Talovierov
1.20
0.80
3
-
-
A. Phillips
1.40
0.00
2
-
-
J. Tchamadeu
0.40
1.00
1
-
-
B. Wilmot
0.40
0.40
1
-
-
B. Gibson
0.60
0.20
0
-
-
E. Bocat
0.40
0.60
0
-
-
A. Cresswell
0.20
0.60
0
-
-
V. Johansson
0.00
0.40
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
T. Seko
0.80
1.60
0
0.00
-
B. Pearson
1.00
0.60
2
0.00
-
Bae Jun-Ho
0.40
1.00
0
0.00
-
M. Manhoef
0.60
0.60
1
0.20
-
L. Baker
1.00
0.20
2
0.00
-
S. Thomas
0.00
1.00
0
0.20
-
Sydney Agina
0.40
0.40
1
0.00
-
T. Rigo
0.40
0.20
1
0.20
-
J. Donley
0.60
0.20
0
0.00
-
S. Nzonzi
0.00
0.60
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
L. Cissé
0.80
1.80
0.20
0.00
-
R. Boženík
0.80
1.40
0.20
0.00
-
S. Gallagher
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
D. Mubama
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

Derby come into this Championship fixture averaging 13.3 shots, 13.7 fouls, and 3.0 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Stoke City are returning 12.4 shots, 10.6 fouls, and 1.7 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for E. Bell to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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