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Millwall vs Derby Match Page

Kickoff

19:45 • GW 37

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Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Millwall host Derby in what promises to be a statistically significant matchup. Millwall have shown a high level of aggression recently, averaging 12.7 fouls per game. On the other side, Derby are picking up cards at a high rate (2.6 per game), which could be a key factor in the cards market. "

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Millwall and Derby to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls25.2
Goal Potential~ 2.3 xG
VolatilityLOW

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

MillwallDerby
Goals
1.0
0.7
Shots
13.0
9.0
Shots on Target
4.0
1.7
Fouls
11.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.3
Corners
6.7
6.7
Possession
49%
51%

Millwall vs Derby Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Millwall

1

Final Score

Derby

0

Overall Possession

Mil

50%

Der

50%

15Shots14
4Shots on Target1
7Fouls Committed13
6Corners2
0Tackles0
Discipline
0Offsides
3Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 7 fouls for Millwall. Compared to their season average of 12.7, this performance was more disciplined than projected.

In the booking department, 0 yellows were shown to the home side.Derby recorded 3 cards, against a historical average of 2.6.

Referee Impact Recap

Matt Donohue, England oversaw a match with 3 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 25.2 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 12:35:15 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

1.20Goals For1.40
0.80Goals Conceded1.00
11.20Shots For13.80
3.40Shots On Target3.60
5.40Corners4.20
13.40Fouls Committed14.60
1.40Yellow Cards2.20

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
J. Cooper
1.20
0.60
1
-
-
J. Tanganga
0.80
0.60
1
-
-
J. Bryan
0.40
0.20
1
-
-
T. Crama
1.00
0.00
0
-
-
Zak Norton Sturge
1.00
0.80
0
-
-
D. McNamara
0.80
0.80
0
-
-
A. Doughty
0.40
0.20
0
-
-
A. Patterson
0.00
0.00
0
-
-
M. Crocombe
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
O. Azeez
2.80
0.80
2
0.00
-
J. Coburn
2.40
0.80
1
0.00
-
M. Luongo
2.60
0.40
0
0.00
-
C. De Norre
0.60
0.20
1
0.40
-
C. Neghli
0.40
0.60
0
0.20
-
D. Kelly
0.60
0.60
0
0.00
-
R. Leonard
0.80
0.20
1
0.00
-
B. Mitchell
0.60
0.40
1
0.00
-
D. Mazou-Sacko
0.60
0.00
1
0.20
-
L. Cundle
0.40
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
M. Ivanović
0.60
1.20
0.20
0.20
-
T. Ballo
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
Raees Bangura-Williams
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.00
-
A. Emakhu
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-
T. Watson
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
M. Langstaff
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
C. Elder
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
D. Batth
1.40
0.80
1
-
-
S. Langås
0.60
0.40
0
-
-
M. Clarke
0.40
1.20
0
-
-
C. Forsyth
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Vickers
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Widell Zetterström
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
D. Ozoh
1.80
0.80
1
0.00
-
J. Banel
1.00
1.00
1
0.00
-
B. Clark
1.00
0.60
1
0.20
-
L. Thompson
0.80
0.40
1
0.00
-
J. Ward
0.20
0.80
0
0.00
-
M. Johnston
0.40
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Morris
0.60
1.20
0.40
0.20
-
P. Agyemang
0.80
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
R. Brewster
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.20
-
E. Adams
0.20
1.40
0.00
0.00
-
L. Salvesen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

Millwall come into this Championship fixture averaging 11.5 shots, 12.7 fouls, and 1.4 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Derby are returning 13.8 shots, 12.5 fouls, and 2.6 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for Matt Donohue, England to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

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