Skip to content

Watford vs Derby Match Page

Kickoff

15:00 • GW 33

Skip to detailed betting stats

Match Analysis & Tactical Insights

"Watford host Derby in what promises to be a statistically significant matchup. Watford have been relatively disciplined, with an average of 11.6 fouls over their last 10 outings. On the other side, Derby are picking up cards at a high rate (2.6 per game), which could be a key factor in the cards market. "

Our algorithm analyzes the last 10 matches and historical data for both Watford and Derby to identify patterns in behavior, referee tendencies, and market value.

Betting Market Indicators

Projected Fouls24.1
Goal Potential~ 2.4 xG
VolatilityHIGH

Stat Comparison

H2H Average (Last 3 Meetings)

WatfordDerby
Goals
2.3
0.7
Shots
15.7
9.7
Shots on Target
6.0
2.0
Fouls
13.0
10.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.7
Corners
4.3
5.0
Possession
50%
50%

Watford vs Derby Match Recap

Final result analysis for this Championship encounter. We break down how the actual match stats compared to historical season averages.

Watford

2

Final Score

Derby

0

Overall Possession

Wat

45%

Der

55%

18Shots5
8Shots on Target1
13Fouls Committed11
2Corners2
0Tackles0
Discipline
1Offsides
0Offsides
Discipline

Statistical Verification

The match finished with 13 fouls for Watford. Compared to their season average of 11.6, this performance was more aggressive than projected.

In the booking department, 2 yellows were shown to the home side.Derby recorded 2 cards, against a historical average of 2.6.

Referee Impact Recap

David Webb, England oversaw a match with 4 total cards. This stayed under the high-volatility thresholds often monitored by card-market bettors in the Championship.

With an aggregate projected foul count of 24.1 between these two sides, bettors should keep a close eye on early match intensity.

Match FAQ

Live Updates

Data points are refreshed every 60 seconds from official league feeds for maximum accuracy.

Verified Feeds

Sourced via API-Football and Opta-compliant channels to ensure statistical integrity.

Last Validated

Match Result Synchronized: 2:24:46 AM • 2025/26 Season Coverage Active.

0.40Goals For1.40
1.40Goals Conceded1.00
14.00Shots For13.80
4.20Shots On Target3.60
8.00Corners4.20
12.00Fouls Committed14.60
2.60Yellow Cards2.20

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
J. Ngakia
1.40
0.20
2
-
-
M. Pollock
1.60
0.80
1
-
-
J. Abankwah
1.60
1.00
1
-
-
E. Selvik
0.00
0.40
2
-
-
S. Mfuni
0.20
0.40
1
-
-
J. Pétris
0.60
1.80
0
-
-
M. Bola
0.60
0.20
0
-
-
K. Keben
0.60
0.60
0
-
-
N. Baxter
0.00
0.00
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
I. Louza
1.40
1.60
3
0.20
-
N. Irankunda
1.40
1.40
1
0.00
-
H. Kyprianou
0.80
1.60
2
0.00
-
N. Mendy
0.60
0.80
1
0.00
-
E. Bove
1.00
0.00
2
0.00
-
G. Chakvetadze
0.20
0.80
0
0.00
-
O. Maamma
0.20
0.40
0
0.00
-
T. Ince
0.20
0.20
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
R. Vata
0.60
1.40
0.20
0.00
-
E. Kayembe
0.60
1.40
0.20
0.00
-
L. Kjerrumgaard
0.80
1.00
0.20
0.00
-
M. Doumbia
0.40
1.40
0.00
0.00
-
Vivaldo Semedo
0.40
0.40
0.20
0.00
-
K. Baah
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
-

Defensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellows1+ Fouls2+ Fouls
C. Elder
1.20
0.20
2
-
-
D. Batth
1.40
0.80
1
-
-
S. Langås
0.60
0.40
0
-
-
M. Clarke
0.40
1.20
0
-
-
C. Forsyth
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Vickers
0.00
0.40
0
-
-
J. Widell Zetterström
0.00
0.20
0
-
-

Offensive

PlayerFoulsFouls WonYellowsAssists1+ F Won
D. Ozoh
1.80
0.80
1
0.00
-
J. Banel
1.00
1.00
1
0.00
-
B. Clark
1.00
0.60
1
0.20
-
L. Thompson
0.80
0.40
1
0.00
-
J. Ward
0.20
0.80
0
0.00
-
M. Johnston
0.40
0.00
0
0.00
-

Shooting

PlayerSoTShotsGoalsAssists1+ SoT
C. Morris
0.60
1.20
0.40
0.20
-
P. Agyemang
0.80
1.20
0.00
0.00
-
R. Brewster
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.20
-
E. Adams
0.20
1.40
0.00
0.00
-
L. Salvesen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-

Notice a player missing from the stats sheets?

Data-Led Match Summary

Watford come into this Championship fixture averaging 13.9 shots, 11.6 fouls, and 2.5 cards across their last ten tracked matches. Derby are returning 13.8 shots, 12.5 fouls, and 2.6 cards over the same sample, which gives this page a direct pre-match benchmark for shots, discipline, and volatility markets.

Use this match page alongside the Championship fixture hub, the stat leaderboards, and the referee page for David Webb, England to compare player props, team form, and booking pressure before kickoff.

Match Discussion

Logged-in users can leave plain-text comments and replies. Emoji are fine. Rich text is intentionally disabled.

Loading comments...